Insiders: Electoral College won’t block Trump – Politico

There’s no way the Electoral College will wrest the presidency away from Donald Trump when electors meet in 50 state capitals on Monday.

That’s according to The POLITICO Caucus — a panel of activists, operatives and strategists in 11 key battleground states.

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Of the more than 160 Republican and Democratic insiders surveyed last week, only one thought it was likely that 37 or more GOP electors would defect to deny Trump a majority.

Trump’s status as president-elect isn’t certified until Monday, when electors will meet across the nation to cast their ballots officially. If electors vote according to their state tallies, Trump will earn 306 electoral votes, to 232 for Hillary Clinton.

But Trump’s critics have cited a number of reasons for electors to think twice about backing the president-elect, even if Trump won more votes in their states: Trump finished more than 2 percentage points behind Clinton in the national popular vote; his unprecedented, potential financial conflicts; and U.S. intelligence judgments that Russian state-sponsored hackers stole Democratic Party communications in order to help Trump win.

More than 70 percent of insiders said the number of so-called “faithless electors” will be fewer than 10.

That is in keeping with a Republican National Committee whip count that reported just one of the 306 GOP electors was planning to cast a vote against Trump.

A group of Democratic electors hoping to persuade their Republican counterparts to vote against Trump are urging them to unite behind a consensus GOP candidate. Most of these Democrats have said they will not cast their votes for Hillary Clinton, but their efforts are highly unlikely to succeed and it’s unclear how many of them will follow through.


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